How have the Stanley Cup Favorites Started the 2025/26 NHL Season?

In a league where dynasties are chased and bluebloods are anointed before a puck ever drops, the opening stanza of the 2025/26 NHL season has offered a delicious refutation of preseason certainties. If you tuned in expecting a coronation tour for the Cup contenders, you’ve instead been treated to an opera of upheaval—a parade of upstarts elbowing their way onto the main stage. Montreal. Detroit. Anaheim. Names accustomed in recent years to the doldrums, suddenly stamped atop divisional standings, outmuscling preseason juggernauts and forcing analysts to rewrite their scripts game by game.

How did this happen? Youthful verve, the spark of patient rebuilds finally catching fire, and a refusal to accept invisible ceilings imposed by history or oddsmakers. The Canadiens, catalyzed by post-draft faces and feverish team defense, are flipping switch after switch in the Bell Centre. The Red Wings, at one point seemingly trapped in the long shadow of their legendary past, are now racing out of it, line changes rolling with the momentum of early ‘90s Detroit. In the Garden State, speed and forecheck are murdering time and space. Out west, the Ducks—hyped only by optimists and locals—might well be the shock act of the fall.

For a deeper look at how this season’s balance of power has shifted, visit how the Stanley Cup race remains wide open for early trends and projections on surprise contenders.

Flip the calendar, though, and the relentless drumbeat still hammers for the teams circled in every sportsbook and pundit roundtable. The Stanley Cup favorites, after all, don’t get participation trophies for trying—they’re measured by expectations set not in October, but by promises of June parades. Has the weight proved crushing, or are these colossi readying for the long climb? With the season’s early turbulence as our proving ground, the answers are emerging one brutal shift at a time.

Colorado Avalanche

In the land of the Rockies, the Avalanche aren’t merely ticking boxes—they’re bending the league to their will. A blistering 8-1-5 run, owners of the Central Division’s summit, and a plus-everything statistical portfolio have all conspired together and prompted NHL betting sites to install them as the Stanley Cup favorites. Anyone who likes to bet on NHL at Bovada will have seen their odds shrink in recent weeks, going from +900 in preseason to now +700 in November. That’s an exciting prospect to bet on.

Nathan MacKinnon, the fuel of this juggernaut, leads with 10 goals and 20 points, following on from his spectacular 140-point explosion last term. Cale Makar, with a calm that belies the chaos around him, has notched 14 assists, his +11 rating the stuff of Norse legends. The penalty kill? A suffocating 90.5%. Goals against? 2.50 per night, third in the NHL. Need a defining win? Just ask Boston about that 4-1 home dismantling.

Look beyond the scoring flurries and you see a team that wins both the numbers and the nuances—their special teams are clinical, their shifts disciplined, and when pressed into a corner, they escape with points; five of their six outright losses have been OT or shootout affairs. Some franchises talk like Cup favorites; Colorado plays like it, shift after shift. 

Carolina Hurricanes

Tread lightly if you take the Hurricanes’ smooth 9-4-0 start as mere maintenance—they’re evolving before our eyes. For years, Carolina has been lauded for structure and process; this fall, talent is pouring over the breakwater. Centre Seth Jarvis is no longer just a promising piece—he’s a revelation, notching seven goals and eleven points while igniting the league with fearless play. Veteran anchor Sebastian Aho is the pillar around whom the system revolves, while the seamless arrival of blue-line wonderkid Alexander Nikishin has given the defense both grit and panache.

But every epic has its challenge. In Carolina, the red flag is hoisted in the blue paint. The goaltending tandem—flashing a 3.11 GAA and .892 save percentage—has offered as much anxiety as assurance, forcing the Canes to score and defend with razor-thin margins. It’s the biggest asterisk on a roster otherwise stacked for six months of battle. Yet the analytics (top-tier shot suppression, impressive out-of-possession metrics) are undeniable. If the netminding sharpens, Carolina has the composition of a champion, instead of another almost chapter.

Vegas Golden Knights

They are not screaming for the spotlight, but the numbers whisper an undeniable threat—Vegas is prowling. At 12 games in, Jack Eichel is operating at peak predator: eight goals, eleven assists, a constant presence in critical moments. Slipstreaming him, the marquee addition of 14-point man Mitch Marner has transformed their attack from potent to pulverizing. More than figures, it’s the variety that stuns—the Knights can wear you out in transition or grind your stars into paste in the corners.

What separates contender from pretender in this league? Depth in adversity. Vegas is navigating roster dings and top-end minutes with the sort of tactical poise you associate with perpetual winners—never dazzling the casuals, always suffocating the analytics models. The hinge for their season? Secondary scoring and health. If the depth lines contribute as expected and the blue line stays sturdy, this is a team built to win the slow war of attrition that is an NHL spring.

To supplement your reading with AI-driven projections and betting confidence scores, explore the AI NHL picks and betting insights from GameAdvisers — updated daily to track every shift in odds and performance across the league.