It’s Tuesday, which means it’s time to analyze the betting lines movement and NFL picks week 8.
We’re going to be halfway through the NFL regular season after this week concludes. For week 7 our AI software predicted the Rams would cover (-6) on Monday Night Football and they easily did.
NFL Week 8 Betting Trends
We hope you’ve been hitting some against the spread underdogs the last couple weeks.
Underdogs went 8-6 ATS in week 7 and dogs are now covering ATS at a 55.2% clip (58-47 ATS). There were also four underdogs that won straight-up last week, which was less than week 6.
Last week the over/under record was 6-7-1. Overs are now only cashing in at a 51.5% rate (53-50) on the season. This week only five NFL games have a game total of 50+ points.
One trend to keep an eye on is the performance of road underdogs (40-29 ATS / 57.97%).
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Analyzing the Opening Lines and Best NFL Picks Week 8
Like every week during the NFL season, we’re going to compare point spread and over/under odds.
We’ll analyze the betting lines movement for every game. We’ll also share some NFL picks week 8 from our football betting experts. You’ll need a GameAdvisers account to access the computer picks (AI).
The four teams on a bye this week are the Texans, Cardinals, Jaguars and Washington.
Falcons vs. Panthers Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Panthers –2.5 / Current Line: Panthers –2.5
Opening Total: 51 Points / Current Total: 49 Points
The Falcons (1-6 / 2-5 ATS) blew a lead late against the Lions. Carolina (3-4 / 4-3 ATS) have lost two in a row. Atlanta are 5-1 ATS in the last six H2H games and the under is 11-3-1 in the last 15 H2H meetings.
Steelers vs. Ravens Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Ravens –6.5 / Current Line: Ravens –3.5
Opening Total: 49 Points / Current Total: 46.5 Points
The Ravens (5-1 / 3-3 ATS) host the Steelers (6-0 / 5-1 ATS) in an AFC North match-up. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five H2H games. We could see this line continue dropping another ½ or full point.
Rams vs. Dolphins Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Rams –3.5 / Current Line: Rams –4
Opening Total: 49 Points / Current Total: 46 Points
The Rams (5-2 / 4-3 ATS) picked up a big win on primetime in week 6. The Dolphins (3-3 / 4-2 ATS) are on a two-game win streak. The Rams are only 2-2 on the road. We like Miami as a home dog.
Jets vs. Chiefs Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Chiefs –21 / Current Line: Chiefs –19.5
Opening Total: 50.5 Points / Current Total: 48.5 Points
The Chiefs (6-1 / 5-2 ATS) host the winless Jets (0-7 / 1-6 ATS). The Jets easily have the worst point differential (-118). However, this is a huge spread. Anything over two TDs in the NFL is tough.
Vikings vs. Packers Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Packers –6.5 / Current Line: Packers –6.5
Opening Total: 56 Points / Current Total: 54.5 Points
We have another divisional match-up, as NFC North rivals Green Bay (5-1 / 5-1 ATS) and Minnesota (1-5 / 3-3 ATS) play on Sunday. GB are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 H2H games at Lambeau.
Colts vs. Lions Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Colts –3 / Current Line: Colts –3
Opening Total: 51.5 Points / Current Total: 50 Points
Indianapolis (4-2 / 3-3 ATS) are 3-0 at home, but only 1-2 on the road. Detroit (3-3 / 3-3 ATS) have now won two games in a row. The Lions are winless at home, but that changes on Sunday.
Raiders vs. Browns Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Browns –3.5 / Current Line: Browns –3
Opening Total: 55.5 Points / Current Total: 53.5 Points
Las Vegas (3-3 / 3-3 ATS) and Cleveland (5-2 / 3-4 ATS) will meet this week. The Browns are 5-2 despite having a –21 point differential. We’re surprised the game total has dropped and will be on the over.
Titans vs. Bengals Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Titans –3.5 / Current Line: Titans –6
Opening Total: 56 Points / Current Total: 54.5 Points
The Titans (5-1 / 4-1-1 ATS) have been one of the best bets against the spread in 2020. The Bengals (1-5-1 / 5-2 ATS) only have one win, but they’ve been great ATS. This is another home dog we like.
Patriots vs. Bills Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Bills –3 / Current Line: Bills –3.5
Opening Total: 46 Points / Current Total: 43 Points
The Bills (5-2 / 3-4 ATS) host the Patriots (2-4 / 2-4 ATS) in an AFC East match-up. The Bills have control of the division right now, but the Patriots are 13-3 in the last 16 H2H games played in Buffalo.
Chargers vs. Broncos Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Chargers PK / Current Line: Chargers –3
Opening Total: 44.5 Points / Current Total: 44 Points
The Broncos (2-4 / 4-2 ATS) host the LA Chargers (2-4 / 5-1 ATS) in an AFC West match-up. This total is a little low. The over is 5-1 in the last six H2H meetings in Denver. We like the over.
49ers vs. Seahawks Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Seahawks –6.5 / Current Line: Seahawks –3
Opening Total: 54 Points / Current Total: 54 Points
The 49ers (4-3 / 4-3 ATS) and Seahawks (5-1 / 4-2 ATS) meet in an NFC West divisional game. This is a big game for the 49ers, but the Niners are only 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 H2H games played in Seattle.
Saints vs. Bears Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Saints –3 / Current Line: Saints –4
Opening Total: 47 Points / Current Total: 44 Points
The Saints (4-2 / 2-4 ATS) and Bears (5-2 / 4-3 ATS) are both second place in their respective divisions. This is a tough game to predict. If the total jumps back up at all, we’re betting the under.
Cowboys vs. Eagles Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Eagles –3 / Current Line: Eagles –3.5
Opening Total: 43.5 Points / Current Total: 43.5 Points
The Cowboys (2-5 / 0-7 ATS) are now the only team that haven’t covered a single game ATS. Philly (2-4-1 / 2-5) are leading the NFC East. Dallas are 4-1 ATS in the last five H2H games.
Buccaneers vs. Giants Week 8 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Buccaneers –8.5 / Current Line: Buccaneers –10.5
Opening Total: 48 Points / Current Total: 46 Points
The Giants (1-6 / 4-3 ATS) have been a mess this season, but they’re still in the NFC East race. The Bucs (5-2 / 4-3 ATS) lead the NFC South. We’re waiting on line movement, but we like TB at –10 or lower.