We share NFL picks week 4 and compare betting lines (open vs. current).
Several games have already seen the point spread move multiple points and it’s only Monday. There is often a correction in the market after the public watches the action on Sunday.
The Buccaneers, Rams and 49ers have all seen their point spreads move multiple points.
NFL Week 4 Betting Trends
The Seahawks and Packers have been the most profitable teams to bet against the spread for NFL bettors and are the only two teams sitting at 3-0 ATS.
Baltimore have a chance to match them at 3-0 ATS if they cover against the Chiefs tonight.
There are five teams that have gone 0-3 ATS to start the season. The teams that have started the season on an 0-3 ATS run are the Eagles, Cowboys, Titans, Jets and Texans.
In week 3, favorites are 8-7 ATS (Favorites are 24-23 ATS in 2020). The biggest betting trend to start the 2020 NFL season has been that overs are hitting at a 61.7% clip (Overs are 29-18 in 2020).
So far this week, the over is 9-6 and bookies haven’t been able to adjust enough to the scoring.
Analyzing the Odds and Making NFL Picks Week 4
We’ll also share a few of our best NFL picks week 4 in our short game previews.
Broncos vs. Jets Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Broncos –2.5 / Current Line: Broncos –3
Opening Total: 41 Points / Current Total: 40 Points
The Broncos (0-3) and Jets (0-3) are both winless, so that’ll have to change in week 4. Both teams are banged up and have looked ugly, so the best bet here is on the under, despite the low total.
Cardinals vs. Panthers Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Cardinals –5 / Current Line: Cardinals –3.5
Opening Total: 51 Points / Current Total: 52.5 Points
Carolina (1-2) picked up their first win by defeating the Chargers (21-16) as underdogs. The Cardinals (2-1) lost their first game to the Lions (26-23). Carolina are 4-0 ATS in the last four H2H games.
Ravens vs. Washington Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Ravens –13 / Current Line: Ravens –13.5
Opening Total: 52 Points / Current Total: 51 Points
The Ravens (2-0) play the Chiefs tonight on MNF and if they cover ATS, look for this line to continue moving up. Washington (1-2) have lost two in a row, including a double-digit loss to CLE in W3.
Browns vs. Cowboys Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Cowboys –5.5 / Current Line: Cowboys –4.5
Opening Total: 54 Points / Current Total: 55.5 Points
The Browns (2-1) have a winning record for the first time since 2014. Dallas (1-2) are lucky that they’re not 0-3. Cleveland may not win on Sunday, but grabbing the points is the best bet here.
Colts vs. Bears Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Colts –2 / Current Line: Colts –3
Opening Total: 45 Points / Current Total: 45 Points
Not much movement in this game. The Colts (2-1) have won two in a row with Rivers at the helm and the Bears (3-0) are undefeated. Foles took over for Trubisky in W3 and will now start at QB.
Jaguars vs. Bengals Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Bengals –3 / Current Line: Bengals –3
Opening Total: 48 Points / Current Total: 48 Points
The Bengals (0-2-1) and Joe Burrow are still looking for their first win. The Jaguars (1-2) have lost two games in a row, but it’s hard to trust a winless team when they’re favored, even at home.
Chargers vs. Buccaneers Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Buccaneers –5 / Current Line: Buccaneers –7.5
Opening Total: 45.5 Points / Current Total: 45 Points
The Buccaneers (2-1) lead the NFC South. The Chargers (1-2) have lost two straight games. Justin Herbert is playing well for LAC, but they haven’t been scoring. The under is the best bet here.
Vikings vs. Texans Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Texans –3 / Current Line: Texans –4
Opening Total: 49.5 Points / Current Total: 54 Points
This total has shot up quickly. The Vikings (0-3) are allowing 34.0 PPG (31st) and the Texans (0-3) allow 31.7 PPG (29th). There’s a good chance these defenses continue to struggle. Bet the over.
Saints vs. Lions Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Saints –5.5 / Current Line: Saints –4
Opening Total: 56 Points / Current Total: 54 Points
The Saints (1-2) are off to a rocky start, but will turn things around against Detroit (1-2). Wait to see if this line hit Saints –3. The Saints are on a 4-0 ATS run against teams with a losing record.
Steelers vs. Titans Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Titans –2 / Current Line: Titans –1.5
Opening Total: 47.5 Points / Current Total: 47 Points
The Steelers (3-0) are undefeated with Big Ben in 2020. The Titans (3-0) are undefeated as well. We recommend the home team here. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 H2H meetings.
Seahawks vs. Dolphins Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Seahawks –7 / Current Line: Seahawks –6.5
Opening Total: 54 Points / Current Total: 54.5 Points
Miami (1-2) defeated the Jags (31-13) on TNF. Seattle (3-0) are undefeated and Russell Wilson has looked like an MVP. Jump on the Seahawks –6.5 before this point spread is above a TD.
Giants vs. Rams Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Rams –10 / Current Line: Rams –12.5
Opening Total: 47 Points / Current Total: 48 Points
The Rams (2-1) almost made a huge W3 comeback against the Bills, but they lost (35-32). NYG (0-3) were just dominated by a depleted 49ers team. This spread is big, but the Rams are the play.
Bills vs. Raiders Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Bills –1.5 / Current Line: Bills –3
Opening Total: 49.5 Points / Current Total: 52.5 Points
The Bills (3-0) remain undefeated and will take on the Raiders (2-1) in week 4. The Raiders just lost to NE (36-20) and it was ugly. Buffalo finds a way to grind out a win and cover the FG spread.
Patriots vs. Chiefs Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Chiefs –7.5 / Current Line: Chiefs –7
Opening Total: 53.5 Points / Current Total: 53.5 Points
The Patriots (2-1) are doing just fine without Tom Brady. Newton is running the football well, but there is a risk he could get injured. KC (2-0) play tonight against the Ravens on MNF.
Eagles vs. 49ers Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: 49ers –3.5 / Current Line: 49ers –6
Opening Total: 45.5 Points / Current Total: 45 Points
The Eagles (0-2-1) are winless and Wentz or Ertz haven’t looked good. The 49ers (2-1) are banged up, but Mullens is a great back-up QB and he’ll have success with this offense. Bet SF to cover.
Falcons vs. Packers Week 4 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Packers –5.5 / Current Line: Packers –7
Opening Total: 57.5 Points / Current Total: 58 Points
The Packers (3-0) and Falcons (0-3) have had opposite starts to the season. Until Rodgers struggles, there’s no reason to bet against GB, especially when playing at Lambeau.