NFL Picks Week 10 and Betting Line Movement

November 12, 2020
NFL Picks Week 10 and Betting Lines

Over half of the NFL regular season has been completed at this stage.  Now is the time to start cashing in on NFL picks week 10, as we have more data.

The last couple weeks have been dominated by underdogs. Will that betting trend hold this week or will the dogs stop barking? Let’s dig into the NFL week 10 point spreads and game totals

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NFL Week 10 Betting Trends

Hopefully, you’ve been hammering underdogs and overs the last couple weeks, but will that trend continue for NFL picks week 10?

During NFL week 9 action, dogs went 10-4 ATS and 6-8 SU on the moneyline. You could have blindly bet every underdog the last two weeks against the spread and made a killing. 

It was a similar story during NFL week 8 action. Underdogs went 10-4 ATS, making dogs 20-8 ATS in just the last two weeks. We expect to see some regression over the next couple weeks. 

There’s no way underdogs can keep cashing at the rate they’re hitting. Underdogs are now hitting at a 57.9% rate (77-56 ATS) this season. Away dogs are cashing in at a 58.82% rate (50-35 ATS). 

We recently updated our US Legal Sports Betting Guide, as several more US states legalized betting. 

Analyzing the Opening Lines and Best NFL Picks Week 10 

Comparing the opening lines to the current lines is important for NFL handicappers looking to make money on NFL picks week 10.

Four more teams are on a bye this week – those include the Chiefs, Falcons, Cowboys and Jets. 

Colts vs. Titans Week 10 Odds and Pick

Opening Line: Titans –2 / Current Line: Titans PK 

Opening Total: 51.5 Points / Current Total: 48.5 Points 

The Titans (6-2 / 3-5 ATS) host the Colts (5-3 / 4-4 ATS) tonight on TNF. The line has been crashing and we’re now at a PK. The Colts are 6-2 ATS in the last eight H2H games played in Tennessee. 

Eagles vs. Giants Week 10 Odds and Pick

Opening Line: Eagles –3.5 / Current Line: Eagles –3.5 

Opening Total: 40.5 Points / Current Total: 44.5 Points 

Philly (3-4-1 / 3-5 ATS) lead the NFC East, while the Giants (2-7 / 6-3 ATS) are in last place in the division. The over has gone 10-1 in the last 11 H2H games in New York, which is why the total is shooting up. 

Jaguars vs. Packers Week 10 Odds and Pick

Opening Line: Packers –13.5 / Current Line: Packers –13.5 

Opening Total: 55.5 Points / Current Total: 50 Points 

Green Bay (6-2 / 6-2 ATS) have been one of the best teams to bet on in 2020. They host the Jaguars (1-7 / 3-5 ATS) who have lost seven games in a row. The total has moved a ton (5.5 points) in this game. 

Washington vs. Lions Week 10 Odds and Pick

Opening Line: Lions –4 / Current Line: Lions –3 

Opening Total: 45.5 Points / Current Total: 45.5 Points 

The Lions (3-5 / 3-5 ATS) host Washington (2-6 / 4-4 ATS) on Sunday. It looks like Alex Smith could start. He has been written off by the media, but we like Washington as a live underdog. 

Texans vs. Browns Week 10 Odds and Pick

Opening Line: Browns –2.5 / Current Line: Browns –2.5 

Opening Total: 54.5 Points / Current Total: 49 Points 

The Texans (2-6 / 1-7 ATS) have been one of the worst bets in the NFL. The Browns (5-3 / 3-5 ATS) are also struggling against the spread. With the total dropping, we’re jumping on the over. 

Buccaneers vs. Panthers Week 10 Odds and Pick

Opening Line: Buccaneers –6 / Current Line: Buccaneers –5.5 

Opening Total: 46.5 Points / Current Total: 50.5 Points 

The Bucs (6-3 / 4-5 ATS) are coming off a loss and need to beat the Panthers (3-6 / 5-4 ATS). CMC was back last week, but the Panthers still lost and they’ve now lost four consecutive games. 

Chargers vs. Dolphins Week 10 Odds and Pick

Opening Line: Dolphins –1.5 / Current Line: Dolphins –2.5 

Opening Total: 47.5 Points / Current Total: 48 Points 

Miami (5-3 / 6-2 ATS) host the Chargers (2-6 / 5-3 ATS) and we love the home team. Miami have won four games in a row to put themselves firmly in the playoff hunt, which is a huge surprise. 

Broncos vs. Raiders Week 10 Odds and Pick

Opening Line: Raiders –4 / Current Line: Raiders –5 

Opening Total: 50.5 Points / Current Total: 51 Points 

The Raiders (5-3 / 5-3 ATS) host AFC West rival, the Broncos (3-5 / 5-3 ATS). The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four H2H games and the under is 7-0 in the last 7 H2H meetings between these foes. 

Bills vs. Cardinals Week 10 Odds and Pick

Opening Line: Cardinals –2.5 / Current Line: Cardinals –1.5 

Opening Total: 49.5 Points / Current Total: 56.5 Points 

The Bills (7-2 / 4-5 ATS) are winning, but haven’t been covering too often. The Cardinals (5-3 / 5-3 ATS) shouldn’t be favored in this game. We loved the total, but not at the current line. 

49ers vs. Saints Week 10 Odds and Pick

Opening Line: Saints –6.5 / Current Line: Saints –9 

Opening Total: 53.5 Points / Current Total: 49 Points 

The Saints (6-2 / 3-5 ATS) host the 49ers (4-5 / 4-5 ATS) in what’s sure to be an exciting game. Our AI system has released a computer pick already for this game, so sign-up for our trial today. 

Seahawks vs. Rams Week 10 Odds and Picks

Opening Line: Rams –2 / Current Line: Rams –1.5 

Opening Total: 53.5 Points / Current Total: 55.5 Points 

Seattle (6-2 / 5-3 ATS) took a beating from the Bills last week. The Rams (5-3 / 4-4 ATS) are 6-2 ATS in the last eight H2H meetings at home. This is a good spot to jump on the Rams to cover. 

Bengals vs. Steelers Week 10 Odds and Pick

Opening Line: Steelers –10 / Current Line: Steelers –7.5 

Opening Total: 48.5 Points / Current Total: 47.5 Points 

The Steelers (8-0 / 6-2 ATS) have been the best bet in the NFL this season. They host Cincy (2-5-1 / 6-2 ATS) who have been great ATS. The under is 4-0 in the last four H2H games. 

Ravens vs. Patriots Week 10 Odds and Pick

Opening Line: Ravens –6.5 / Current Line: Ravens –7 

Opening Total: 41 Points / Current Total: 43.5 Points 

We have a huge match-up on Sunday Night Football. The Ravens (6-2 / 4-4 ATS) take on the Patriots (3-5 / 3-5 ATS). Our AI computer picks system has also released a play on this game already. 

Vikings vs. Bears Week 10 Odds and Pick

Opening Line: Bears –2 / Current Line: Vikings –2.5 

Opening Total: 45 Points / Current Total: 44 Points 

The Bears (5-4 / 5-4 ATS) host the Vikings (3-5 / 5-3 ATS) on MNF. The Vikings are just 1-5 ATS in the last six H2H games and 3-14 ATS in the last 17 H2H games played in the Windy City.