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Clark’s Injury Watch: Ripple Effects on MVP Race and Title Futures
Caitlin Clark will miss her 12th game of the season Tuesday, and the betting markets have reacted sharply. Once among the preseason favorites, the Indiana star is now offered at +7000 to win MVP at DraftKings and +800 at BetMGM. Meanwhile, Minnesota’s Napheesa Collier has tightened into an odds-on position (–700 DK / –600 MGM).
Yet Clark still dominates the handle: BetMGM reports 53 percent of all MVP money and nearly half of the total tickets backing her, making the Fever guard the book’s biggest liability. Because her odds have lengthened while money continues to pour in, sportsbooks stand to benefit handsomely if Collier—or any contender other than Clark—takes home the award.
Updated WNBA Title Odds (DraftKings)
| Team | Current | Opening |
|---|---|---|
| New York Liberty | +170 | +190 |
| Minnesota Lynx | +200 | +350 |
| Phoenix Mercury | +500 | +4500 |
| Indiana Fever | +700 | +1300 |
| Las Vegas Aces | +2000 | +350 |
| Seattle Storm | +2200 | +1500 |
| Atlanta Dream | +2500 | +7000 |
| Golden State Valkyries | +7500 | +20000 |
| Washington Mystics | +20000 | +10000 |
| Los Angeles Sparks | +30000 | +12000 |
| Chicago Sky | +50000 | +7500 |
| Dallas Wings | +50000 | +12000 |
| Connecticut Sun | +100000 | +750 |
Indiana remains the largest championship exposure for BetMGM, holding 41 percent of title bets and nearly 60 percent of the money despite ranking sixth in the standings. The expansion Golden State Valkyries, sitting at 10-12, are the second-biggest liability after entering the season as the longest of longshots.
Perspective From the Trading Desk
“Bettors continue to back the Fever to win the WNBA Championship and Caitlin Clark to win MVP. But Clark’s injuries have caused her odds to lengthen. The current MVP favorite, Napheesa Collier, winning the award would be a good outcome for the sportsbook.”
— Hannah Luther, Sports Trader, BetMGM