Like last week, there has been a lot of early line movement for NFL week 7. Let’s get into the odds and our best NFL picks week 7
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NFL Week 7 Betting Trends
To begin the NFL season, overs were hitting at nearly a 60% clip. That’s no longer the case. The NFL over/under record this season is now 47-43 (52.2% Overs) after 10 games went under the total in week 6.
Underdogs were on fire in week 6 as well – going 9-5 ATS and 6-8 straight-up. Dogs are now 49-42 against the spread this season (53.8%), with away underdogs hitting at a 56.45% clip (35-27).
So, what’s going to happen in NFL week 7 action?
We expect moneyline underdogs are going to fare much worse for NFL picks week 7
Learn which U.S. States have legal sports betting – the number continues to grow.
Analyzing the Opening Lines and Best NFL Picks Week 7
We’re going to look at the opening point spreads and totals for NFL week 7.
We’ll also look at the current lines to see the early line movement. For some of the games, we’ll also share what our NFL expert handicappers are betting on this weekend.
The Ravens, Colts, Vikings and Chargers are all on a bye week.
With that being said, there are 14 games scheduled for NFL week 7.
Giants vs. Eagles Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Eagles –7 / Current Line: Eagles –4
Opening Total: 45 Points / Current Total: 43.5 Points
The Eagles (1-4-1 / 2-4 ATS) are a mess, but they get the Giants (1-5 / 3-3 ATS) at home this week on primetime (TNF). The under is 8-2 in the last 10 H2H games in Philly, we like the under.
Steelers vs. Titans Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Titans –1 / Current Line: Steelers –1.5
Opening Total: 52.5 Points / Current Total: 52.5 Points
The Steelers (5-0 / 4-1 ATS) and Titans (5-0 / 2-3 ATS) are both undefeated, but the Steelers are also covering ATS. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 H2H meetings. The Titans ML is great value.
Cowboys vs. Washington Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Cowboys –3.5 / Current Line: Cowboys –1.5
Opening Total: 49 Points / Current Total: 46 Points
The Cowboys (2-4 / 0-6 ATS) lead the NFC East, but haven’t covered ATS yet. Washington (1-5 / 3-3 ATS) are terrible. Is anyone excited for Dalton vs. Allen? Neither are we.
Bills vs. Jets Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Bills –10 / Current Line: Bills –13
Opening Total: 48 Points / Current Total: 46 Points
The Bills (4-2 / 3-3 ATS) have now lost two games in a row. The Jets (0-6 / 0-6 ATS) are the worst team in the NFL in 2020. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 H2H games, maybe the Jets cover this week?
Panthers vs. Saints Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Saints –7 / Current Line: Saints –7.5
Opening Total: 51 Points / Current Total: 51 Points
The Saints (3-2 / 2-3 ATS) host the Panthers (3-3 / 3-3 ATS) in an NFC South match-up. The underdog is 10-2 ATS in the last 10 H2H games and the over is 6-1 in the last 7 H2H meetings.
Packers vs. Texans Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Packers –3.5 / Current Line: Packers –3.5
Opening Total: 56 Points / Current Total: 56 Points
The Packers (4-1 / 4-1 ATS) were just smoked by Brady and the Bucs. The Texans (1-5 / 1-5 ATS) have been terrible in 2020. The consensus around here is this game will be a shootout.
Browns vs. Bengals Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Browns –4.5 / Current Line: Browns –3.5
Opening Total: 52 Points / Current Total: 50.5 Points
Cleveland (4-2 / 3-3 ATS) are coming off a division loss to PIT on the road. They now travel to play the Bengals (1-4-1 / 4-2 ATS) who have been good ATS. Take the +3.5 while it’s still available.
Lions vs. Falcons Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Falcons –1.5 / Current Line: Falcons –2.5
Opening Total: 56.5 Points / Current Total: 56.5 Points
Atlanta (1-5 / 2-4 ATS) won their first game in week 6 after cleaning house. The Lions (2-3 / 2-3 ATS) are 0-5 ATS in the last five H2H games. Despite not playing often, we like that trend to continue.
Seahawks vs. Cardinals Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Seahawks –2.5 / Current Line: Seahawks –3.5
Opening Total: 55 Points / Current Total: 56.5 Points
Seattle (5-0 / 4-1 ATS) are undefeated, while the Cardinals (4-2 / 4-2 ATS) are just behind them in the NFC West standings. The underdog is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 H2H games, making Arizona a solid NFL picks week 7.
Jaguars vs. Chargers Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Chargers –7.5 / Current Line: Chargers –8
Opening Total: 48 Points / Current Total: 49.5 Points
LAC (1-4 / 4-1 ATS) have been a great bet against the spread this season. The Jaguars (1-5 2-4 ATS) are terrible. We’re surprised this total went up and we’re backing the under 49.5 points.
49ers vs. Patriots Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Patriots –5 / Current Line: Patriots –2.5
Opening Total: 45.5 Points / Current Total: 45.5 Points
The 49ers (3-3 / 3-3 ATS) are last in the NFC West, but coming off an unexpected win. The Patriots (2-3 / 2-3 ATS) have lost two in a row, but they’re 2-1 at home and always tough to beat in Foxborough.
Chiefs vs. Broncos Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Chiefs –10 / Current Line: Chiefs –9.5
Opening Total: 49.5 Points / Current Total: 48 Points
The Chiefs (5-1 / 4-2 ATS) have dominated the Broncos (2-3 / 4-1 ATS) in recent years. KC are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 H2H games and an even better 6-0 ATS in the last 6 H2H games played at Mile High.
Buccaneers vs. Raiders Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Buccaneers –2.5 / Current Line: Buccaneers –3
Opening Total: 53.5 Points / Current Total: 53.5 Points
The Raiders (3-2 / 3-2 ATS) have a tough home match-up against the Bucs (4-2 / 3-3 ATS). This total seems low to us, but our best bet for this game is on the Buccaneers ATS.
Bears vs. Rams Week 7 Odds and Pick
Opening Line: Rams –7.5 / Current Line: Rams –5.5
Opening Total: 47 Points / Current Total: 46 Points
The Rams (4-2 / 3-3 ATS) are coming off a loss and can’t afford another one in the tough NFC West. Chicago (5-1 / 4-2 ATS) are leading the NFC North and Foles has done enough to win.