It was just three years ago when the Seahawks had the best defense in the league and were 16.5-point favorites at home against the Bears. That defensive squad is long gone and its best current player, Bobby Wagner, is out for this one along two other regulars. But so what. That defense with those three gave up 470 yards to Case Keenum last week. Russell Wilson is still going to move the ball and somehow have a chance to win. Lots of points looks like the best angle. Over is the play Monday.
The great performance by the Bears caused a big swing in this line, and while I think the number is now pretty fair, I'm on Russell Wilson over Mitchell Trubisky in prime time. The Bears offense did some interesting things against the Packers, then threw it all out in the second half, leading to the loss. Will they learn here? I think Shaquil Griffin can hang with Allen Robinson, and the secondary Bears options still have to prove it to me. Michael Dickson helps the Seahawks keep it close another week.
Seattle's defense appears a shambles, with so many players missing (among them Bobby Wagner and KJ Wright). But despite a leaky OL, Seahawks have some new weaponry for Russell Wilson to access, including Brandon Marshall, rookie tight end Will Dissly (105 receiving last week) and first-round RB Rashaad Penny.
Seattle is still held in public favor, and the Seahawks will be the popular side in this one in large part because of their respectable Week 1 performance against the Broncos. But a couple big plays in the passing game and a few forced turnovers kept things from getting out of hand. Chicago collapsed amid the epic comeback by Aaron Rodgers and the Packers last week, but this is still one of the league's most improved teams. Lay the widely available -3 in this one and you might even be able to get -2.5 come Monday. The Bears cover in coach Matt Nagy's first home game.
The Bears' defense is going to get better and better, as Khalil Mack gets to know his teammates and rookie Roquan Smith gets more playing time. Mitchell Trubisky won't be able to expose the Seahawks defense the way Case Keenum and the Broncos did last week. And while Russell Wilson is a playmaker, he won't have his security blanket Doug Baldwin out there, and the run game remains a work in progress.
It might be a challenge for these teams to limbo Under at such a modest number, but both are accustomed to landing south of the total lately. Seattle has gone 5-2 Under in recent away games, nearly matching Chicago’s 6-2 mark in home dates over a similar period. On Mondays, there are on a 5-2 and 4-1 Under roll respectively.
Chicago coach Matt Nagy wants to play fast. He has the personnel on offense to do so. The issue becomes two-fold -- does he slow down the offense with Jordan Howard, and can Mitchell Trubisky make the crucial plays in the passing game to be successful? Seattle played poorly on offense, particularly Russell Wilson with the turnovers. However, you have to figure that last week was more of the aberration for him and he'll get back to the good, consistent Wilson we've seen over the course of his career. Take the points.
Have zero trust in Seattle in general and even less with them playing on the Eastern side of the country. Look for the Bears D and Khalil Mack to be too much and for Chicago to get a nice home win in week 2
This is not the same Seattle team that was a staple in playoff picture year-after-year in the NFC. No, this is most definitely a team that is on the decline, but even still, I think it is dangerous to give Russel Wilson over a field goal, especially when the other team is as unproven as the Chicago Bears are.
Yes, the Bears lost last weekend to Aaron Rodgers, but it took an MVP level performance from one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time to pull off the accomplishment. This Bears team is significantly better than last season and they face the Seahawks who are missing a huge portion of their starters to injury. Look for the Bears to control this game with good defense and a running game and pull off the Monday night win.