Except for a beatdown of the Redskins -- who lost most
of their offensive line that day -- the Falcons have been horrific on
the road. Their four road losses have come by an average of 14 points.
Look for an inspired effort from the home team, in the wake of Mike
McCarthy's firing, as the Packers cover.
It's reasonable to assume that if Joe Philbin got hired as the
interim coach, he got Aaron Rodgers' stamp of appoval. And if Rodgers
feels less tension and gets more control of the play-calling, it may
give him the best shot to win. Atlanta D worst in NFL in TD's per drive
Mike McCarthy had to go, and the Packers figure to be more aggressive on
offense under Joe Philbin. I think we're going to see a huge
performance from the Packers offense against an Atlanta defense that's
31st against the pass and 29th against the run, per DVOA.
The road team has covered nine of the past 12 meetings, but I like the
home team here, beginning with Mike McCarthy getting canned. I'm
expecting the Packers to have all gotten the wake-up call for their part
in the firing
As much of a trainwreck the Packers have been on offense, that pales to
the underachievement going on in Atlanta. It's just not clicking, and
the loss of Devonta Freeman has been more massive than expected.
The firing of Mike McCarthy apparently has caused the total to catapult
four points. The thinking goes, QB Aaron Rodgers is rid of the Packers
coach with whom he did not see eye-to-eye. It is risky to assume A-Rod
suddenly will be the old A-Rod in a week’s time.